Dror Poleg’s Data Dashboard

The Worker Anxiety See-Saw

By Dror Poleg

This chart connects twelve monthly observations of perceived job-loss risk and confidence in finding another job within three months. It preserves the two distinct expectations rather than combining them, revealing whether anxiety moved through fear of dismissal, fear of a difficult search, or both.

Latest observation: 2026-07·Expected cadence: Monthly
WorkExpectations
What does it show?

From July 2025 to June 2026, perceived job-loss risk was essentially unchanged while confidence in finding another job within three months fell almost six percentage points.

Methodology

Connects the twelve monthly observations published in Worker Anxiety Index (Components). The horizontal axis is the mean perceived probability of losing one's job within twelve months. The vertical axis is the mean conditional probability of finding another job within three months after a job loss. The path shows how those two distinct expectations moved together; it does not combine them into a new index or imply that they are probabilities of the same event. Monthly survey noise, respondent composition, and revisions can affect the path.

Sources