Dror Poleg’s Data Dashboard

Graduate unemployment

By Dror Poleg

This chart compares unemployment among recent college graduates with unemployment among all workers. It uses New York Fed calculations from the Current Population Survey; recent graduates are younger and less experienced, so the comparison is descriptive rather than an estimate of the causal value of a degree.

Latest observation: 2026-06·Expected cadence: Monthly
WorkInequality
What does it show?

Recent college graduates now have a higher unemployment rate than the workforce as a whole.

Methodology

New York Fed calculations from the Current Population Survey. Recent college graduates are ages 22–27 with a bachelor's degree or higher; all workers are ages 16–65. People currently enrolled in school are excluded. The source publishes seasonally adjusted three-month moving averages, which this chart displays without additional smoothing. The comparison is descriptive: the groups differ in age and experience, so the gap does not isolate the effect of a degree. These are New York Fed research calculations, not official BLS estimates; source vintages may revise recent observations.

Sources